LC (Laura Cannon): Yes.
IP (Interlocuter): So, how were they?
LC: Eek. Not great. I think April numbers will be better.
IP: So, how bad were they?
LC: Well, let me start with the good news: In Cook County, sales were only down about 26% over last year.
IP: What kind of spring bounce is that?!
LC: I see your point, but keep in mind, this year March was more of a winter month than a spring month. So, that was pre-bounce. And, 26% down over last year was still better than the stats for the Chicago Metro Area for February and January of this year. So, indeed, we did see some pre-bounce momentum building.
IP: Did you just say “indeed”?
LC: Yes.
IP: Whatever. Anyway, what is the bad news?
LC: Lake County.
IP: Lake County. How so?
LC: Ugh. Do I have to tell you?
IP: Isn’t that the point of this charade?
LC: Fine. March Sales were down a cool 38% over last year.
IP: Ewww, that sounds bad.
LC: Yeah, that is bad. Good for buyers, but bad for sellers.
IP: Does that include Barrington?
LC: Yes, a large part of Barrington is in Lake County; however, the data is somewhat skewed by the more rural areas with low population density. Those areas have been hit harder than Cook County. Barrington, being on the edge of Lake County, has not suffered as much as areas further out.
IP: What’s so great about Cook County?
LC: Good point. Nothing with regard to congestion and county government. But, Cook County is where the jobs are. And, despite national economic concerns, the job market in Cook County is still o.k.. As long as there’s work, the housing market may be weak, but it is relatively stable long term.
IP: Are you implying that Lake County is unstable?
LC: Not at all. It is just taking a bigger hit right now. Long term it will be fine.
IP: What makes you think you know so much?
LC: Actually, I am not sure that I do know. This is just what seems to make sense. Besides, it is pretty basic economics.
IP: O.k., so what’s next for the local area?
LC: The numbers will be better for April; I can feel it. I’m busy; the office is busy. April and May should be better. After that, demand will recede again. And the uptick in demand for those two months is not sufficient to substantially reduce current inventories.
IP: Are you saying it’s a buyer’s market?
LC: Yes. Supply is high; demand is low. Could the economics be any simpler?
IP: So, it is a buyer’s market.
LC: Indeed.
IP: I guess I probably already knew that.
Laura Cannon